Comment by bpchaps
10 years ago
I've been thinking lately that "do the best that your intuition can" is the optimal way to solve these sorts of mini tasks. That way, when your intuition is right about 10,000 things in your life, you have a bit of leeway with the other 10,000 it's wrong about.
I'd imagine that this really only works as long as your intuition is in constant check, though.
I like this heuristic, since for things for which it is effective, intuition basically _is_ rationality, on a species-level timescale. The problem is the things for which it is not effective. The other problem is knowing which kind of thing you're dealing with, since determining that requires intuition.