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Comment by dmichulke

9 years ago

A good proxy is market demand. If Apple releases an iPhone and 1bn people buy it they served the needs of at least 1bn people.

Of course, a whole lot of poor people (probably the other 5/6 bn) won't be affected immediately but some years later they also start benefitting and today it's almost a (used) 100$ laptop per child equivalent (except for the poorest).

You can argue the same way about mpesa, bitcoin and other innovations/products.

Do charities have a similarly fantastic metric?

"Market demand" does not optimize globally by default. Effects can be positive or (extremely) negative.

Example: Global warming is a result of the "market", an unexpected consequence from decades of growth. It can only be countered by coordinated action.

To get back to the topic at hand: The "elites" should be the ones who lead such a transformation instead of, say, just looking to advance their carreers.

  • The "elites" are the ones currently in charge (e.g., climate change, terrorism, monetary policy, ...) and I don't see them optimizing.

    Just a few related questions: Who is going to define who are the elites? If you say the people, then we end up in a democracy just like we have already and yet, I cannot see any optimization.

    What if climate change can be evaluated not only as a single metric but as a tradeoff? E.g., nuclear energy vs CO2? Or cost of each marginal ton of CO2 saved vs. the things you can do with the same money (e.g. a few cancer therapies). Are there even appropriate "elites" who are experts in all of the above areas?