Comment by adventured
7 years ago
Given where the technology is now, there's no scenario where thousands of men won't be doing this within a few decades. It'll get easier, safer and cheaper over the next 10-15 years of experimentation and development, putting it within reach of a lot more people. The number count won't be very high early on, it'll still be an incredible technological achievement.
If 30 years out just 1 in 100,000 men are doing this at a given time, it'd be over 100,000 male births annually on the planet.
I doubt this procedure will catch on with men, but artificial wombs are coming sooner or later.
Personally, I think this will, in modern historical terms, be the most significant catalyst in equalizing the genders. But I don't expect feminist groups to embrace it with open arms.
I suspect it’s highly likely to catch on with people born as men, now keen to be women.
That's my suspicion as well. We'll hit 10 billion people pretty soon, which is my basis for claiming it's almost guaranteed we'll see male births at that type of numerical rate in several decades (100k per year or more globally). When you're talking about such a vast number of people, it doesn't take much to reach ~100k for any given thing.
You'll have men that were born as men, who want to be men / identify as men. I'd expect that to be a smaller share of the male birth number. Then you'll have men that were born as men, who want to be women / identify as women. That will likely represent the far larger share of the male birth number.