Comment by jacquesm
15 years ago
Flags are the main factor that you've missed I'm not quite sure how to measure them reliably but from what I've seen in terms of 'jumps' downward on a heavily flagged post it looked like 6 flags will take you off the homepage on to page two when you have about 20 upvotes. Maybe that will allow you to model it.
I have two will take you off when you are under 9 upvotes.
How did you know how many flags it had?
Counting the jumps down the home page. Would be nice if PG could confirm this either way (right or wrong), but I'm fairly sure that's what it is. It wouldn't make sense any other way (it was this post: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1759548 ) it got to the first spot on the homepage very quickly and then dropped in six steps off the homepage.
19 points, six steps, that's averaging 3 points per step, so it's like a single flag counts for 3 'downvotes' on an article or something close to that.
That's all guesswork of course.