Comment by tim333

He predicted Turing test by 2029 which is fairly definite, falsifiable and quite likely to be falsified.

For me proper AGI is when you could say to a robot go build some better robots and then have them build even better ones and they can do so without needing us. There will be some year before which if humans disappeared, computers and robots would grind to a halt and after which they could carry on. That's also a definite falsifiable thing, harder than the Turning test and is kind of what I think of as corresponding to the singularity which tends to be rather wooly in it's definition.