Comment by stiray
6 years ago
I really hate speeches like that. They are always told by one permile (or even less) of people that succeeded. The voice of all those that have lost are never heard. Same as blockchains, there are a few very loud people explaining how easy is to get rich, while those who gave them their money are rarely heard. I would laugh if it wouldnt be sad.
An anecdote (just a detail, I am developer for almost 30 years, I know the industry from downside up), a month or two back, two greenhorns were fanatically explaining me, how they were on a talk of X billionaire that told them it was never so easy to be a billionaire as right now. You only need a 2k laptop. I laughed on inside, but today kids really believe stories like that. Sure, gauss will do its game and a few will get filthy rich. But lottery seems a better game to me.
Maybe more poker than a lottery. A lot of luck, but there's still a little bit of skill in there.
I appreciate the feedback though. I know this is just one voice of many, but it's also what I experienced. I think it's up to the viewer to decide if my experience is applicable.
I think Paul Buchheit said it best: Advice is merely n=1 experience.
This was my n=1.
> I appreciate the feedback though. I know this is just one voice of many, but it's also what I experienced. I think it's up to the viewer to decide if my experience is applicable.
How do you feel comfortable spreading your own experiance in a manner that purposefully tries to persuade opinions while you know your experiance is non-generalizable?
Hm, is it truly totally non-generalizable? There are a lot of people who are very capable for whom the real risk is not taking risk at all. I meet them regularly.
It's not the norm, but just because it applies to a set of the very skilled doesn't mean it is not generalizable. It just isn't applicable to all people. I admit that.
The survival bias is real.