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Comment by labawi

6 years ago

> .. if a fix had a 1 in 250,000 chance of causing a different error that could result in a fatal crash then it would be worse than the 737-MAX problems.

That's an improper calculation. Slight nuance but orders of magnitude difference. A better approximation is:

If a fix had a 1 in 250,000 chance of causing a different error that would result in a fatal crash then it would be worse than the 737-MAX problems.

And converse:

If a fix had a 1 in 250,000 chance of causing a different error that could result in a fatal crash then it could be worse than the 737-MAX problems.

MAX's MCAS generates way more errors than 1 in 250k. A few of them resulted in a crash.