Comment by xyproto
5 years ago
Yes, maybe it's better formulated as "don't listen to predictions from people with a record of inaccurate predictions".
5 years ago
Yes, maybe it's better formulated as "don't listen to predictions from people with a record of inaccurate predictions".
This is an interesting set of questions.
To some extent, I see the value in "don't listen to predictions from people with a record of inaccurate predictions".
On the other hand, people who make a lot of inaccurate predictions are, at least, taking a chance by saying out loud what they are thinking. They know their predictions might be wrong, and hopefully they learn and update their methods along the way. It is a nice way to grow.
Back in my Austin road cycling days, there was an amazingly talented junior rider who had a reputation for crashing hard and often. Some of us wondered how many pieces his frame could be split into. He survived the crashes, best I can tell. I'm pretty sure his confidence, resilience, and bike handling skills got better with every crash. Pushing the limits and being wrong in these kinds of situations may not be everyone's style, but it can work.
Well, then I would not follow his advice if I didn't want to crash while riding a bike.