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Comment by AnthonyMouse

4 years ago

You're still not addressing the underlying problem.

People switch to new messengers sometimes, true. But the next one isn't going to be yours unless you have a surplus of luck in addition to skill. The next one is with high probability going to be someone else's.

The real problem is that when it happens, you need the new one to support the new platform. Which it doesn't have any incentive to do when nobody uses the new platform. Convincing the next one to be on your platform is the same problem as convincing the existing one. The transition has nothing to do with it.

I am not saying winning is easy there’s probably hundreds of thousands of messaging apps written. I am saying winning isn’t worth nearly as much as people think.

Consider even just adding advertisements is enough to eventually lose the top spot because there is so much competition.