Comment by state_less
4 years ago
If we could all get a stable (guaranteed) 15% per year, everyone would invest. But the world economy doesn’t grow at 15%.
4 years ago
If we could all get a stable (guaranteed) 15% per year, everyone would invest. But the world economy doesn’t grow at 15%.
The US economy doesn’t grow at 7% a year but that’s what the s&p is expected to do
Well, the S&P (assuming the S&P 500) doesn't represent the entire US economy, but 500 companies that represent, arguably, the "winners" of the US economy, so expecting them to grow 7% while the entire economy as a whole grows less is not unexpected.
How much of that is inflation? If, historically, GDP growth is about 3% and inflation is about 3%, and you're trying to invest in the strongest companies, is that how you get to 7%+?
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Population growth + inflation + transfer of wealth from workers to capital owners + productivity gains has over the long run been pretty close to 7%.