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Comment by lazyasciiart

4 years ago

On the other hand, models said that Japan could never experience an earthquake as bad as the 2011 earthquake right up until 2011 proved them wrong (https://physicstoday.scitation.org/doi/10.1063/PT.3.1361)

The other side of this is "whats the alternative?"

You can't prepare for an arbitrarily strong Earthquake, so the only lesson we take is that our models needed correcting and we'll work to that next time.