Comment by gattr
4 years ago
Indeed. Hmm, but what if I roll a D20 before each flight and take a bomb only if I get a "1"? Do I decrease the average two-bombs probability to 5·10⁻⁶?
4 years ago
Indeed. Hmm, but what if I roll a D20 before each flight and take a bomb only if I get a "1"? Do I decrease the average two-bombs probability to 5·10⁻⁶?
Yes. But the conditional probability of the plane having a bomb that’s not yours will still be 10^-4.