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Comment by phtrivier

4 years ago

My general prediction is :

- next year will be a mixture of things continuing to happen as before, and completely unexpexted events (that will actually play out similarly than previous events, but from a while ago.)

- There will be strikes in France,

- coups in south America and / or Africa,

- very few plane crashes, an awful lot of car accidents

- and maybe a rocket malfunction.

- War in Russia will go on. (Apparently, half of all wars last more than a year :/ [1])

- A next wave from Belarus is almost a sure thing. Not sure why it would work better than last one.

- I don't know where it would make sense military wise for Russia to drop a tactical nuke. They will do if they find out.

- The first power cut in a major European country will change the game as far as public support goes.

- But gouvernements don't need public support to send weapons, they need industrial capability, so they will keep doing it.

- Also, famous people will die in January / February. (because babyboom + life expectancy + winter)

- Summer will be on average hotter than summers from the last decade.

- Except during my holidays, where it will rain cats and dogs.

- Finally, the year will end in December (high probability, high confidence)

[1] https://www.csis.org/analysis/how-does-it-end-what-past-wars...

5 comments

phtrivier

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denton-scratch  4 years ago

> War in Russia will go on.

There is no war in Russia. Russia is at war, but that war is happening in a country called Ukraine.

  • phtrivier  4 years ago

    I was expecting some joke around "there is no war in Russia, it's a special operation, yada yada". Then I reread myself and spotted the obvious mistake.

    :facepalm:

    (Although, technically, some parts of Ukraine are claimed by Russia, so... No ? Ok, no. Sorry.)

FeistySkink  4 years ago

Do you have a source for the last two? Seems too far fetched.

  • phtrivier  4 years ago

    I'm trying to get a double blind controlled study of the weather duringy holidays published, but the editor of Science has not returned my calls yet.