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Comment by Beldin

4 years ago

- Full Self Driving will be "1-2 years away", much as it has been for the last 7 years

- Nuclear fusion "is only 2 decades away", just as it has been the last 40-60 years.

- same for other "right around the corner" predictions

- the world will change; most of that change is incremental; any real radical shifts will only be apparent with hindsight.

- the superrich are going to get loads more superrich; the environment will be worse off; the poor and middle class will also be worse off.

- all in all: trends will roughly continue as before even though 2023 will be part of a decade/decade-and-a-half which resulted in radical changes in trends.

> - the superrich are going to get loads more superrich; the environment will be worse off; the poor and middle class will also be worse off.

I am worried about this since we know where this path leads.

Re: - Nuclear fusion "is only 2 decades away", just as it has been the last 40-60 years.

Has recent advances in the last month not made you more optimistic?

  • I have a degree in theoretical physics and I would bet money against commercial nuclear fusion within the next 40 years. It's important research, but it's one hell of a long shot.

  • No, this does nothing for energy -generating reactors, but I agree that's interesting for future military nuclear tech.

    • What does the military application for the recent developments look like? More powerful bombs, somehow?