Comment by mrazomor
4 years ago
MS has a limited amount of credit. It will expire eventually. If MS makes a bad move, it might kick off an avalanche. People leaving FAANG etc., might kick start new companies that help improving support, breaking the old relations, and building new ones.
And ChatGPT won't take off, IMO. It's a nice piece of tech, but lacks what's needed for productionisation. I didn't even include it in 2023 prediction, as 2023 won't even properly start before people forget it.
ChatGPT is immeasurably better than google assistant. Tons of people use that already, there’s no way they don’t upgrade it. Sure it won’t be the same, but it’ll follow the same idea of a massive transformer trained on the entire internet.
What's the ChatGPT traffic volume (requests per second), and what's Assistant's? Or any of the prominent search engines? What would be cost of running ChatGPT at that traffic volume & comparable (user friendly) latency or reliability?
How old is the data that ChatGPT is serving? How costly or feasible is to update it?
In short, the ChatGPT is frozen in all directions. Those are technical limitations.
ChatGPT is an amazing tech demo. It distrupted the Big Tech. That's great. But, we'll need to wait for the new generation. Not ChatGPT iterative improvement.