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Comment by ghiculescu

4 years ago

- Russia will win the war, around the same time, most Americans will stop caring about it (same as happened with Covid this year).

- Stock market goes sideways. Crypto market goes up in latter half of year as recession ramps up.

- Tech recession kills remote work for all public / VC backed companies. Private, profitable companies double down on it, but with lower average wages. This creates a schism and many people complain about it on Twitter. (The non-tech economy is just relieved they don’t have to hear about WFH anymore.)

- Djokovic wins all 4 grand slams.

- I’ll start a new startup.

> Russia will win the war

How do you define that?

I'm mostly asking because Russia's official war goals have changed so many times that it's hard to even know what it means to "win" it.

Like, control of all of Ukraine's territory is something quite different than Putin declaring that the goal all along was to keep Crimea safe, and declaring victory when it doesn't fall.

  • Good question.

    I’m not sure what the victory condition will be, but in a years time I predict we will look back and say “yep they won”.