Comment by SideburnsOfDoom

Ok, I found it:

https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/12/space-debris-expert-...

> I predict that we will see a loss of human life by (1) objects ... surviving reentry and hitting a populated area, or (2) people ... having their vehicle getting scwhacked by an unpredicted piece of junk.

> I predict that both those things are going to happen in the next decade