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Comment by chaostheory

4 years ago

- China will attack Guam then Okinawa within 5 years. These bases need to be destroyed as part of its invasion of Taiwan

- Globalism will continue to decline due to rising tensions in Asia

- Droughts around the world will continue to worsen which will drastically increase food prices and social disorder

- climate change will cause a general northern migration

- The northern Arctic sea will become a major trade route as the ice caps melt. Tensions will rise between Russia, Canada, and the US

- The US dollar will no longer be the global reserve currency in three years. Deficit spending will be harder. Available consumer credit will decline.

- The paradigm for stock markets will change. “Stonks” will no longer eventually always go up, including indexes.

- Canada will have a privatized healthcare system alongside its public one

- mass surveillance will be the norm due to declining numbers of law enforcement personnel

- more central banks will issue CBDCs within 4 years in an effort to destroy paper currency

- AI will continue to replace commodity skills. Long term, this will become less of an issue as working populations decline while elderly retirees make up more of the population

- there will be a vaccine for specific cancers

- China will revert to socialism

> - China will attack Guam then Okinawa within 5 years. These bases need to be destroyed as part of its invasion of Taiwan

China will attack the US (Guam and Okinawa are basically US military bases, Guam being US territory as well) on their way to Taiwan? seems very unlikely (there are 20k-30k US marines in Okinawa for ex).

> - Canada will have a privatized healthcare system alongside its public one.

Possible, but will require a majority conservative government, which today seems unlikely

  • Guam is the closest US naval base of operations for Taiwan’s defense. This isn’t a new revelation.

    https://fsi.stanford.edu/news/frontline-guam-strategic-deter...

    https://taskandpurpose.com/news/military-guam-china-war-taiw...

    Unfortunately while Guam has missile defenses, it’s close enough to China where the CCP can technically just overwhelm the island with enough missiles.

    > Possible, but will require a majority conservative government, which today seems unlikely

    No it won’t. It just needs enough moderates to support it like in the EU. Canada’s budget won’t be able to support socialized healthcare unless

    1. The number of retirees drastically decreases in relation to the number of working adults. This is hard due to the increasing xenophobia in Canada,

    2. Benefits gets cut for everyone or just gets cut for retirees. Taxes are already too high, or

    3. Take some of the load off the public system while giving people an option for private healthcare, while still subsidizing public healthcare for everyone else