Comment by Havoc
4 years ago
- Tesla struggles to compete against old school manufacturers that have a grip on quality and make advances on the EV tech side
- At least one instance of serious grid instability in Europe. Comes close to complete cascading collapse, but few people in mainstream notice/understand how serious it was
- Various real estate markets dive 40%. Canada, UK, Ireland, nordics
- Something in US politics breaks in a serious fashion (think capital riot) cause by the widening left/right split spiralling further out of control
- Russia gets a new leader
- China moves aggressively against Taiwan, but not a full frontal assault. Blockade of some sort. US backs down
- Major oil price drama from strait of hormuz or that general part of the world
- Robots/Drones that are 100% AI controlled and armed with lethal weapons are used for area denial patrol type in corridor fashion
- Revolution in sea unmanned navigation via AI, both underwater and above. Mostly cargo for above, military for under.
- Multiple major humanitarian crisis in Africa, mix environmental and socioeconomic/structural
- Knock-off ChatGPT style bots become a widely available but they are inferior to the openai one. aws/gcp/azure all have a go at it
Directionally agree with all your points, except for real estate (said governments will forever prop it up to satisfy their boomer-ish electorate)
ChapGpt is most likely to be disrupted by openai itself
> said governments will forever prop it up to satisfy their boomer-ish electorate
Agreed. Prediction here is essentially that they run out of room to do so with sufficient force to counteract market forces
> ChapGpt is most likely to be disrupted by openai itself
Good point. They do have a head start for next wave