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Comment by version_five

4 years ago

Generative AI will turn into a crypto style echo chamber, where no meaningful business cases emerge but a bunch of true believers cant stop talking about how game changing it is. Deloitte will develop a generative AI consulting practice. The world will start to move on.

My prediction is that someone will create a Generative Photo app for real estate agents, every house listing will have a bunch of crappy generated "photos" of what the interiors could look like. The developer of it will become a billionaire. The fad will last 3 years and then stop as they realise it just puts people off.

I will then look back at this comment in three years time, and think "that cold have been me"...

  • This has already happened. I have gone to see listings where I didn’t realize until I was there that the photos were fake, and that the place was actually a mess.

  • I’ve been seeing simulated decor in real estate listing for years. I think this could actually could persist for a while

    • Yes, but going by how badly written real estate listings listings are, imaging letting them loose on generative AI!

I'm generally anti-hype but this seems a very bad take, as others have noted.

Generative AI has already changed the game for early adopters, and this is just the start in terms of functional power and popular awareness. Days and weeks after launching in each case.

Cryptocurrency has still yet to find a convincing use case after ten years.

Generative AI is already past the utility that Crypto ever had.

Copywriting industry is going to be AI powered going forward, Copilot is widely loved by programmers and generative images are also finding utility in things like AI powered logo makers.

  • Copilot is massively polarising.

    Aside from that, I think that we are at a crossroads with Generative AI. ChatGPT is amazing, but that's because it's sources are all human.

    What happens when Stack overflow gets a load of copypasta from these ChatBots, we already can see some small logic bugs in outputs and when it starts to see itself, or other lower quality bots, churning out buggy code will that impact it?

    We could enter an era where developers become the person who can best express a technical requirement for ChatGPT to spit out working code. Or we could become proofreaders.

    The people reading all the outputs and fixing the bugs that are generated from the bots, the best coders are those with the most experience with crappy outputs and can fix what the bot meant to do.

Funny but I have already started thinking/saying the same thing. Whenever there is something that becomes so popular so fast, it brings out the worst in people.

I think Crypto will not completely die but mostly fade off in the next 2-3 years. AI in theory has a lot more applications but due to the whole ChatGPT stuff where everyone is creating "content using AI", it will crash and burn as quality of output will suffer and ultimately will be useless.

Every day I'm seeing devs, designers, writers and other professionals showcase how they are already using Generative AIs at work.