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Comment by jodrellblank

3 years ago

Continued increase in computing power and connectivity is possible - that seems to be plainly correct in the short term. Continued increases appear to be able to make big changes to the world - compare 1950 with 1990 with 2023 and the internet, online banking, online shopping, email, smartphones, TikTok, Self-driving cars, ChatGPT, all these rippling shockwaves on the way to the event horizon are already rocking our human boat. Saying "there can't really be a singularity ahead" or "there isn't really an event horizon we will experience crossing" seems to be missing the point. The bad bit is worse shockwaves, unpredictable shockwaves, which sink the boat - not the boat arriving a the "end" and finding Cthulhu. Arguing "Cthulhu can't be there" isn't as reassuring as you imply it is. If there's a futureshock which wipes out humans, saying "well that isn't the end because there is no end, so your model is wrong" won't be much consolation.

> "but maybe there are greater things in there."

Probably not though; of all the arrangements of matter and energy possible, most of them are hostile or indifferent to Humans. Very few are beneficial to humans. Even Venus and Mars which are roughly Earth-sized rocky planets with atmospheres which orbit near the Goldilocks zone of a yellow dwarf main-sequence star, are still incredibly hostile to humans and they're far closer to Earthlike than most things in Space.