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Comment by jerf

3 years ago

Yes, I'm aware of that too. Maybe I just don't feel like spewing a complete description of LLMs into my every post about them.

To the extent that they may come up with novel ideas, they have no ability to compare them against the true state of the world. This is not exactly a limitation of them per se that could be overcome with more computation, so much as just a structural fact about them; they have no loop where they can form a hypothesis, test it, and adjust based on data. It simply doesn't exist.

Which is part of why I keep saying that while I'm less impressed than everyone else is with LLMs, the future AIs that will incorporate them but not simply be an LLM is going to really knock people's socks off. Pretty much all the things people trying to convince LLMs to do that they really can't do are going to work in that generation. I have no idea if that generation is six months or six years away but I wouldn't bet much more than a few years.