Comment by youainti
3 years ago
Bayesian approaches alone are not enough to establish causality. I say this as someone using bayesian approaches in a causal analysis. Causality is intricately linked to the processes that underly how data is generated. Two different processes can lead to the same probabilistic results.
You don't necessarily need to establish causality in one grand step; it can still be effective to accumulate evidence of causality, even if this evidence cannot distinguish between other competing non-causal explanations.