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Comment by EA-3167

3 years ago

Because they're trying to die, they're literally getting what they want, guaranteed. Having said that I don't agree with assisted suicide for the reasons you listed. Either way it's not as though people seeking death are being mislead as to the odds, are engaging in desperate reasoning that they'll be the lucky ones who get to live a bit longer.

You offer someone death, they get death.

This is about people desperate for cures and treatments that probably won't work, and may well give them the opposite outcome from what they hope for.

There is a difference in kind.

Either way it's not as though people seeking death are being mislead as to the odds, are engaging in desperate reasoning that they'll be the lucky ones who get to live a bit longer

This applies just as much to approved treatments as unapproved, for the same reasons, and has the exact same solutions such as having a third party with no vested interests explain to the patient. In fact it has those problems less than approved treatments because the companies are being paid by the insurance company for the approved treatments but not the experimental ones.

  • The key is that the approved treatments are proven to have the requisite efficacy, the risks that come with that are an acceptable tradeoff. The unapproved, often largely untested world of early breakthroughs doesn't have that guarantee of potential efficacy, it often JUST has risks.

    • It may help to not view the options as a binary choice between drugs approved under the current process and any drug not currently approved.

      What constitutes the acceptable tradeoff is the heart of the matter. On the one hand, even the current approval process does not always guarantee efficacy (Aduhelm to mention it by name). Medical trials work with considerable uncertainty, and the risk/benefit tradeoff is always a question of probabilities. Even with the current process, there is no certainty or guarantee.

      It is possible to take those probabilities and to talk about the expected number needed to treat (NNT) for a medication, the expected side effect profile, how many people might live and how many might die. Things that may sound cold, but that are already routinely done today.

      It is hard to know where the tradeoff should be, how much margin of error is the right amount before something is approved, knowing that there is uncertainty even in large trials, but it's not a choice between the totally unapproved and the status quo. (Better yet, we should not model the choice as a single parameter that goes from more choice & more snake oil to less choice & more safety. It's also often possible to improve one aspect of a bureaucracy without it being a zero-sum game.)

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