← Back to context

Comment by Jean-Papoulos

2 years ago

So it's basically just GPT-4, according to the benchmarks, with a slight edge for multimodal tasks (ie audio, video). Google does seem to be quite far behind, GPT-4 launched almost a year ago.

Less than a year difference is "quite far behind"?

Lotus 1-2-3 came out 4 years before Microsoft Excel. WordPerfect came out 4 years before Microsoft Word.

Hotmail launched 8 years before Gmail. Yahoo! Mail was 7 years before Gmail.

Heck, AltaVista launched 3 years before Google Search.

I don't think less than a year difference is meaningful at all in the big picture.

  • The new alternatives offered better products. Not clear that Gemini qualifies yet besides multimodal.

    • But that's my point. It doesn't matter who's better exactly right now. Let's see how this plays out over the next few years.

      Whether one company or another is 10% better or worse than another at some metric right now -- that just couldn't be less relevant in terms of how this will ultimately end up.

      1 reply →

This is interesting in that it implies that catching up is possible if you have enough data, engineers and compute. This also potentially implies that adjacent players such as Nvidia could gain an edge long term because they are a leader in one of the three.