Comment by jefftk
2 years ago
Manifold has this at 69%, so here's an opportunity to take some people's internet points: https://manifold.markets/brubsby/will-googles-gemini-beat-gp...
2 years ago
Manifold has this at 69%, so here's an opportunity to take some people's internet points: https://manifold.markets/brubsby/will-googles-gemini-beat-gp...
Looks like it's 75%? It briefly dropped to 68% in October/November, but has been fairly consistently around 75% for a while.
It's very active today: 50+ trades in the last hour. When I checked it was 69%, but it's gone up and down since then. Click on the "trades" tab to see.
Ah fair enough, this seems to be an awkward UI. Over time though 75% seems to be the representative recent position. It is up to 85% now though!