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Comment by krab

2 years ago

The probabilities aren't independent. The person jumping through the first hoop is probably more able than average. Therefore, any additional hoop - if it doesn't require a completely orthogonal skill - is less selective.

I think it depends on what the "probability" is meant to indicate. You're correct if it's meant to indicate whether a particular attacker can get through a particular hoop. But probabilities could also refer to e.g. the chance that it's possible to get through a particular hoop, period. Or the fraction of some input space which corresponds to an exploitation.