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Comment by tmnvix

2 years ago

Given the total failure to achieve any of its stated objectives, has this use of AI benefited the IDF at all?

I would argue that it's likely the only outcome it has had that directly relates to IDF objectives has probably been negative (i.e. the unintended killing of hostages).

Sadly, I think that the continued use of this AI is supported because it is helping to provide cover for individuals involved in war crimes. I wouldn't be surprised if the AI really weren't very sophisticated at all and that to serve the purpose of cover that doesn't matter.

I'm starting to get convinced the stated objective isn't the objective IDF is really after.

They say the objective is to destroy Hamas and save the hostages.

I think the actual objective is to murder as many palestinians as possible. At the very least that is the actual objective of some IDF soldiers. They've said as much publicly.

Whether or not that's the actual objective intentionally or unintentionally is just arguing semantics at this point.

> Given the total failure to achieve any of its stated objectives, has this use of AI benefited the IDF at all?

Their invasion of the Gaza city went way better than expected by most analysts, with minimal casualties among Israeli. So probably? Hard to compare with the alternative reality where they select the targets the old way.

That their stated objectives are likely unachievable is a different issue.

> Given the total failure to achieve any of its stated objectives, has this use of AI benefited the IDF at all?

Hamas has been considerably diminished. It's not accurate to say the war has been a "total failure".

  • Politically and diplomatically, it could be argued Hamas have been considerably strengthened. They certainly think so.

    It seems to me that Israel's overall position - politically, diplomatically, and in terms of physical security - has become much worse since the October 7 attack and it has been their own actions that are responsible for the change. A different response should have seen them politically and diplomatically strengthened.

    I understand the emotive reasons for not doing so, but I think most people would consider that Israel has bungled their response to October 7.

    I would call this attack on Gaza a total failure. If nothing else a failure of humanity.

    It's looking more and more like the 'winners' in this situation are Hamas and the losers are the Israeli government, the US government, and the Israeli and Palestinian people.

    • > Politically and diplomatically, it could be argued Hamas have been considerably strengthened. They certainly think so.

      That's delusional. Hamas’ operational capabilities have been highly diminished. Their leadership is in exile. It looks increasingly likely that their ground forces will be destroyed. While they've found sympathy among the Arab population, it's notable that not a single government--outside Iran--has offered to materially support them. And even Iran is starting to be constrained in its regional capabilities.

      Israel isn’t winning. But Hamas isn’t either.

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    • I'm not sure Hamas has anything left to win. Gaza is in ruins. If things go on the way they are for very much longer, there won't even be left any Palestinians in Gaza, only Hamas in its tunnels. The lords of the underground... buried under the rubble. That's not a vision of victory.

  • Just a day or two ago there was another IDF raid on Shifa hospital.

    Months ago the IDF claims that Hamas is operating out of tunnels under the hospital, they raid the hospital. A few weeks later, they raid the hospital again, and again, and again, up until this recent raid some days ago.

    You claim Hamas is diminished, but how diminished can they really be if they keep popping up in the same predictable place over and over and over? In North Gaza, the place the IDF has been fighting to secure for the longest, Hamas just pops up one day in the same place they have many times before and so they have to raid the hospital again.

    This is all according to Israel's own claims. If Israel's claims are true, then Hamas is one of those mystical enemies that pops up everywhere and is super strong and justifies all sorts of things to defeat, while also being weak and "diminished".

    I think the truth is that Israel wants to destroy the health system in Gaza and drive the people out. Shifa hospital is basically rubble at this point.

    • This is just the nature of urban warfare against an terrorist group that is deeply embedded in the civilian population. The tunnels add a huge level of complexity to it.

      Israel did themselves no favors by projecting a message early on that they would be able to "destroy" Hamas entirely in a very short amount of time. It was probably inevitable from the beginning that this would be a long, drawn out conflict. Hamas will continue to exist to some extent for quite some time. But the fact remains that their military capabilities are far diminished now, and continue to be futher diminished. That is the essential goal of the war.

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    • By Israel's logic I think 'militants in hospitals' could simply mean injured militants receiving treatment.

I think they're real objectives are to murder as many Palestinians as possible, and to occupy the north of the Gaza strip. Why? Two reasons: oil & gas, and beach-front real estate. Israel has already dished out licenses to oil producers for fields in Palestinian waters, and the new "aid" pier the US is building for them is rather suspect.