Comment by bruce511
2 years ago
I'd add that it's also a function of revaluing the assets, and then determining if the return on asset value is appropriate.
Take a small restaurant. Grandad bought the building 50 years ago. That's long since paid off.
The restaurant makes say 10k a month. Good honest business. But the building/land is worth say a million.
The owners don't care, it's paid off. The business makes a good living.
So I come along and offer 500k for the business. That's basically 4 years profit up front. They want to retire soon, so that's good deal. But I turn around and sell the land for a mil. I've made a big profit, and since rent is now 10k, in only a few months the restaurant goes under.
The root problem is that the business is delivering a really poor return on asset value. Which opens the door to someone buying the assets, not the business.
That's what it looks like to me too. All of the Red Lobsters I know of in California are in some very high volume locations, often in large multi-block shopping malls where everyone in a several mile radius goes to shop. They did a good job front running the state's population growth and locking in some great locations before they became really expensive.
It's pretty much a license to print money as long as the restaurant can maintain competitiveness in quality and cost. All of the restaurants in the strip mall that holds my nearest Red Lobster have been around for over a decade and half of them for over twenty years. The turnover is really low because everyone rakes it in as long as they don't mess it up. Looks like Red Lobster messed it up.