← Back to context

Comment by achempion

1 year ago

The numbers are definitely sus, but what if they were

    52.2543689%
    44.2689426%
    04.6345625%

How likely is it that you'd get these votes distributions exactly with these exact tails? Compared to all other possibilities?

Basically the same 1/verymany chance, but that doesn't matter. The difference is that there's no particular reason to choose these numbers to start with. There _is_ a reason to choose nice round, but not too round numbers: that's what humans do.

The question is "How likely is it that humans would begin with those numbers when fudging?" answer is low.

But clean numbers? Much more likely.