Comment by lpcvoid
14 days ago
Russia will not use nukes. If you believe they will, then they have you exactly where they want you to be.
14 days ago
Russia will not use nukes. If you believe they will, then they have you exactly where they want you to be.
So how do you know that?
Why wouldn't russia use a tactical nuke in west Ukraine to destroy tank factories? They already are a international Pariah, that is why they align with North Korea.
The only answer is - to remain the last standing they have. But at some point, they might not care. It is dangerous to put someone with nukes in a desperate position. Putin would not survive retreating from Ukraine - he would be in a desperate position if the odds of war are against him - currently they ain't.
Why wouldn't russia use a tactical nuke in west Ukraine to destroy tank factories?
Because the Biden administration communicated to its regime (in late 2022) that this would definitely trigger a massive kinetic response. In particular it indicated that its ground forces in Ukraine would be utterly destroyed (as Putin knows it is very much capable of doing).
Talking and doing are not the same thing. Geopolitics is like Poker, who is bluffing and who is calling it. You are saying only Putin is bluffing - well, I do read russian military blogs/telegram chats. Spoiler: they also think Biden is bluffing.
Don't you see, how this can turn out wrong?
11 replies →
> Putin would not survive retreating from Ukraine
A most interesting question is: Would survive Trump?