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Comment by aguaviva

7 months ago

Anything can happen, and people say all sorts of stuff online.

But from the fact that the warning was expresed privately, and using carefully chosen language (unlike Putin's warnings, which are generally aimed at the public sphere, and are full of bluster) -- and considering, again, that the US is fully capable of carrying through with its promise in this regard -- it seems likely the message was received as intended.

Could still go wrong, but the likelihood of things going wrong by not promising any sufficiently serious consequences at all to Russia's regime if it actually deploys nukes seems to be (unequivocally) far greater.

If the warning would have been really private, you would not know about it. Since you know about it - it was apparently rather a public statement as well. We both don't know about the real backroom deals and what exact words are used there. What are the real red lines that are communicated behind the curtains - most of those statements are just show. Part of the game. I am pretty sure, that Putin would like to remain in power and not radiated. But I would not bet on it. There are rumors he is sick - and sacrifice and suffering is somehow part of the russian mentality.

  • The threat is public so people like you can go and sow fear because Russia itself has been revealed as a paper tiger. Kleptocracy can only take a modern civilization so far.

    • "because Russia itself has been revealed as a paper tiger."

      I see, you have personally checked the russian nukes and found they are all worthless? Or have access to top secret informations confirming that?

      Otherwise it seems a bit out of this world, to claim the country with the most nukes on earth is a paper tiger.

      And the russian conventional military is far from a paper tiger as well. That tale comes from the fantasy, that Ukraine is facing russia alone. But the whole NATO is supporting it. Without NATOs weapons and money, Ukraine would have been russian since over 2 years.

      But yes, I do have fear. But more from people like you, who look at reality in a way, that fits their ideology.

      Just assume for a moment, you are wrong. What would happen as a result, if the people in command would think like you?

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