Comment by matthewdgreen
2 years ago
My understanding was that Ioannidis hugely underestimated the IFR of COVID and he did it mostly by cherry picking a handful of small-sample-size studies that were friendly to his political views. It was very much a “your heroes will absolutely let you down” moment in my scientific life, and to the extent that non-scientists have forgotten the episode, that’s kind of what I expect.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8843927/amp/Just-0-...
No, the IFR of Covid was hugely overstated, which is why the projected population level impacts were completely wrong, even in places with limited interventions. Attributing cause of death is not as easy as it might seem.