Comment by ein0p

Well, I know what will happen within about a year long time horizon. As far as at least developer assistance models are concerned the difference at the end of 2025 is not going to be dramatic, same as it was not between the end of '23 and this year, and for the same reasons - you do need symbolic reasoning to generate large chunks of coherent, correct code. I also don't see where "dramatic" would come from after that either unless we get some new physics which lets us run models 10-20x the size in realtime, economically. But even then, until we get true AGI, which we won't get in my remaining lifetime, those systems will be best used as a "bicycle for the mind" rather than "the mind", and in the vast majority of cases they will not be able to replace humans entirely, at least not in software engineering.