Comment by martin-t

I love The Expanse and it gets things right more than other sci-fi. However, I think it vastly _underestimates_ the amount of injustice than can be caused by powerful people with the help of advanced technology and ML.

1) You can literally cover the planet with sensors and make privacy impossible. Cameras and microphones are already cheap and small. What will they look like in several hundred years? You can already eavesdrop on a conversation in a closed room, e.g. by bouncing a laser off the window to amplify air vibrations. What will be possible in several hundred years?

2) Right now, suppressing the population by force requires control of a sufficient number of serviles. These serviles are prone to joining the revolution if you ask them to harm their own friends and families (Chine only managed to massacre Tianennmen square after reinforcements from other regions survived because the initial wave joined the protesters). They are prone to only serving as long as you can offer them money or threaten then credibly.

In the near future, it will be possible to suppress any uprising (if you're willing to use violence) by a small number of people controlling a large number of automated tools (e.g. killbots, the drone war in Ukraine is a taste of what's to come).

Spoilers ahead.

The story vastly underestimates the competence of state level bad actors.

In the books, Holden and his group were attacked on Eros by a small number (single digits) of covert agents and only managed to survive thanks to Miller. In reality, you don't send 4 people to apprehend 4 people, you send 40.

Later, Holden and other people were apprehended on Ganymede and again, managed to get out of it by overpowering their captors because the government just didn't send enough people. This is not gonna happen in reality.

(Though you might be able to kill one if you're also willing to die in the process. A Belarusian citizen had several KGB agents break into his flat but because it took them a while to break the door down, he managed to grab his gun, ambushed them and shot one in the stomach. The aggressor later bled out but the citizen was also killed.)