Comment by f1shy
7 months ago
My personal experience: - 5% geniuses. This are people who are passionate about what they do, they are always up to date. Typically humble, not loud people. - 15% good, can do it properly. Not passionate, but at least have a strong sense of responsibility. Want to do “the right thing” or do it right. Sometimes average intelligence, but really committed. - 80% I would not hire. People who talk a lot, and know very little. Probably do the work just because they need the money.
That applies for doctors, contractors, developers, taxi drivers, just about anything and everything. Those felt percentages had been consistent across 5 countries, 3 continents and 1/2 a century of life
PS: results are corrected for seniority. Even in the apprentice level I could tell who was in each category.
From my 40 years in the field, I see much the same trend. I wouldn’t call 5% of developers “genius”—maybe 1% are true geniuses. Those folks can be an order of magnitude better at certain tasks—doing things no one else can—but only within a limited sphere. They also bring their own baggage, like unique personalities. Still, I believe there’s always room for genius on a big team, even with all the complications.
Typically, upper management wants smooth, steady output. But the better your people are, the bumpier that output gets—and those “one-percenters” can produce some pretty extreme spikes. If you think of it like a graph, the area under the curve (the total productivity) can be way bigger for a spiky output than for a flat, low-level one. So even if those spikes look messy, they often deliver a ton of long-term value.