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Comment by robertlagrant

6 days ago

Either SpaceX isn't uncontested already (lots of people are developing rockets, so they aren't uncontested), or this wouldn't have changed that (lots of people developing rockets are absolutely nowhere near SpaceX, and they still wouldn't be whether or not this had worked).

Im not sure I follow - can you show me another rocket currently in development that is as close as SpaceX offerings in terms of payload/price performance as new glenn?

If new glenn were to succeed it would have a massive impact on SpaceX (and starlink)

  • I don't think that that's true. SpaceX barely use Falcon Heavy (I count under 10 missions in total[0]), and I think it's because there are so many payloads that fit into a regular Falcon 9 that it's not worth trying to queue up enough payloads to fit.

    And if there are new, special payloads that only fit in a New Glenn, then it's not obvious they would disrupt the existing SpaceX operations, as opposed to just being additional flights.

    [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_He...