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Comment by Over2Chars

5 days ago

It appears that Chinese merchants don't seem to be as confident that Trump won't do anything:

https://www.newsweek.com/trade-surplus-china-economy-exports...

Apparently Trump can't do this because Biden cut off his options..?

https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/trump-unleash-nearly-40...

Trump can't cancel MFN because Biden already cancelled MFN?

https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/12/04/trump-pntr-status-china...

I think you're taking Trump too lightly.

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Over2Chars

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suraci  5 days ago

> I think you're taking Trump too lightly. I didn't

You're talking about another thing.

Trump(or Biden admin)'s tactic is - move/push 3 step forward, back 1 step, use it to trade China's concession

Let's take TikTok ban as an example, if Biden didn't rush to play it and traded nothing, it will be a card of Trump, Trump can use it to trade(or threat) profit.

ofc Trump can seek other cards to play, but the TikTok card, and the Chip sanction card, were wasted by Biden, Trump can not go further in these two topics.

It's not about China or Chinese merchants, it's the game between Biden and Trump, and their parties.

Either one of these two president are willing or able to be friendly to China, there's no different, Trump will pressure China with tarrifs, Biden pressured China with geopolitical/financial containment and regime change

The only difference is which one will harm the US more.