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Comment by Vegenoid

10 months ago

To expound, "black people are more likely to be felons" is only true (in the truest sense of the word "true") given a clear definition of what "likely" means, and the conditions under which the statement is true.

The statement could easily be interpreted as either:

- when selecting a random black person and a random white person out of the current American population, there is a statistically higher chance that the black person is a felon than the white person

- black people are more inclined towards committing felonies than white people, and will continue to do so at a higher rate

These have very different meanings, but are both fair and natural interpretations of the information-deficient statement "black people are more likely to be felons". Given that, the statement will likely cause more confusion and argument than clarity, and so is a bad statement.