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Comment by lesuorac

4 days ago

If neither side has really changed what's to prevent them from going to war again?

It happened for a reason and unless that reason has changed then one should expect the same outcome.

Hamas was built over a long period by Iran, through Syria. Iran is much weaker than before, Syria is no longer a route to send supplies, and Hezbollah has been gutted.

  • Hamas was for the vast majority of its existence anti-Iran, and instead was supported by various Sunni groups like the Muslim Brotherhood. Extrapolating convenient conclusions doesn't help anyone.

    • And that portion of its existence is not relevant to what happened in this war

      This was a proxy war with Iran

Concretely, Israel will not be caught offguard for an Oct 7-style attack for quite a while. So the macguffin (hundreds of hostages) will probably not come up again.