Comment by colechristensen
2 days ago
12 years passed between SpaceX's first orbital flight (2008) and their first orbital flight with humans aboard (2020). SpaceX will probably reach Mars orbit before 2030.
Blue Origin is likely at least a decade behind, though they haven't taken the same path and have the benefit of not being first.
Curious to see how this moves forward. Tesla (arguably) launched the first mass-appeal electric vehicles, but there are highly competitive alternatives now, despite the massive headstart Tesla had. Hopefully this will be true for rockets too.