Comment by chollida1
2 days ago
> Pretty unusual for a new space company to make orbit on their first launch. Generally par for the course in established companies is 2 failures in the first 10 launches so lets see how they do.
Where are you getting your stats and how many companies are you in your model?
Firefly and Astra both come to mind.
Not all of the rockets blow up on the pad or dance around near the launch pad [0], but lots certainly do not make it to orbit in the first try. Space is pretty hard.
0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9PS6z9P9nqs
I grew up on the space coast, have watched many new expensive fireworks. I expect one of the next ones to either go boom, or the less exciting hear the 2nd stage separation failed.
Why are you disagreeing like this? It would be like asking for a source if a software developer said “most software launches encounter some issues on their initial release”.
Really, that was your take away?
All I did was ask for the data used to come to that conclusion. I was only aware of SpaceX as a new space company. I was curious as to what other companies were included in her/his model.
How did you possible take offense to someone trying to learn?
And how did you possibly manage to find any ill will in the question?
> Why are you disagreeing like this?
I never once disagreed with the OP. Again, how did you get to this wild of a take from what i wrote?
I read it the same way as combative or at least skeptic.
If you say that was not your intent, then you might want to consider your approach.
A common hostile debate tactic is to ask the other person to "bring the receipts", and then pick through them for something to object to. It is akin to saying "prove it", and puts all of the burden on the other person with minimal effort.
In a world where the internet is often combative and full of bad faith actors, you may want to be more specific to distinguish yourself from them. If you have a specific question, ask it directly instead of asking them to provide more and sorting it yourself. You may also want to be clear about intent eg "what other companies are you considering".
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