Comment by wongarsu

If it doesn't explode it might be light enough to survive reentry, after sailing on for a short while. In that case a large chunk of metal will come down either off the coast of South Africa or if continues on in its orbit potentially off the coast of Australia.

[1] has the planned flight path, as well as the impact zones.

1: https://flightclub.io/result/3d?llId=c5566f6e-606e-4250-b8f4...