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Comment by parsimo2010

2 days ago

a) just because the government has policies that doesn’t mean they are 100% effective

b) export controls aren’t expected to completely prevent a country from gaining access to a technology, just make it take longer and require more resources to achieve

You may also be misunderstanding how much money China will spend to develop their semiconductor industry. Sure, they will eventually catch up to the West, but the money they spend along the way won’t be spent on fighter jet, missiles, and ships. It’s still preferable (from the US perspective) to having no export controls and China being able to import semiconductor designs, manufacturing hardware, and AI models trained using US resources. At least this way China is a few months behind and will have to spend a few billion Yuan to achieve it.