Comment by Zanfa

> So to say "we are not even close" seems strange. If LLMs continue to improve, they will be comparable to mid level developers in 2-3 years, senior developers in 4-5 years.

These sorts of things can’t be extrapolated. It could be 6-months, it could be a local maxima / dead end that’ll take another breakthrough in 10 years like transformers were. See self-driving cars.