Comment by mrbungie
17 days ago
Yesterday I read an /r/singularity post in awe cus of a screenshot of a lead management platform from OAI in a japan convention supposedly meant a direct threat to SalesForce. Like, yeah sure buddy.
I would say most acceleracionist/AI bulls/etc don't really understand the true essential complexity in software development. LLMs are being seen as a software development silver bullets, and we know what happens with silver bullets.
Come back your comment in 18 months.
I assume this is a slap intended to imply that ai actually IS a silver bullet answer to the parent's described problem and in just 18 months they will look back and realize how wrong they are.
Is that what you mean and, if so, is there anything in particular you've seen that leads you to see these problems being solved well or on the 18 month timeline? That sounds interesting to look at to me and I'd love to know more.
It isn't a silver bullet in that it can just "make software" but it is changing the entire dynamic.
You can't do point sampling to figure out where things are going. We have to look at the slope. People see a paper come out, look at the results and say, "this fails for x, y and z. doesn't work", that is now how scientific research works. This is why two minute papers has the tag line, "hold on to your papers ... two papers down the line ..."
Copy and paste the whole thread into a SOTA model and have meta me explain it.
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