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Comment by sitkack

17 days ago

Come back your comment in 18 months.

I assume this is a slap intended to imply that ai actually IS a silver bullet answer to the parent's described problem and in just 18 months they will look back and realize how wrong they are.

Is that what you mean and, if so, is there anything in particular you've seen that leads you to see these problems being solved well or on the 18 month timeline? That sounds interesting to look at to me and I'd love to know more.

  • It isn't a silver bullet in that it can just "make software" but it is changing the entire dynamic.

    You can't do point sampling to figure out where things are going. We have to look at the slope. People see a paper come out, look at the results and say, "this fails for x, y and z. doesn't work", that is now how scientific research works. This is why two minute papers has the tag line, "hold on to your papers ... two papers down the line ..."

    Copy and paste the whole thread into a SOTA model and have meta me explain it.

    • That's not why more experienced people are doubting you.

      They're doubting you because the non-digital portions of processes change at people/org speed.

      Which is to say that changing a core business process is a year political consensus, rearchitecture, and change management effort, because you also have to coordinate all the cascading and interfacing changes.

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