Comment by talldayo
7 days ago
America's entrepreneurial spirits have worked up a persecution complex and want their revenge. They will implement protectionist policy, push on spending cuts before tax reforms ("look at what we saved!") and then expect the market to climb while they liquidate their hundred-billion dollar portfolios and move to an island to retire.
At least, that's the theory. I don't think America wants to admit that the CCP has their industrial capacity by the balls and can direct it with centralized planning to displace America's EV market or naval tonnage at will. There's an assumption that deregulation will finally be the panacea to America's issues, but we can't pursue that consistent with a policy of global trade. We can't sanction the ICC and demand other countries extradite their criminals to the US. We can't abandon the Human Rights Council and then demand other countries respect our moral authority.
It's going to be another 4 years of the civilized world proving they don't need America. And Trump is going to spend it flattering dictators abroad while everyone else taps their foot waiting for another primary. Stagnation is a best case scenario, a-la 2016 - our saving grace is that most of America's serious adversaries are also hurting quite a bit right now. Trump sitting in the Nixon or Regan seat would have been game-over for America.
> 4 years
What makes you think they’ll respect that law?
Assuming he makes it that long, he’ll have a third term. They’ll make some lunatic reading of the law to justify state legislatures selecting electors. The supine courts will rubber stamp anything.
Well he certainly made a big fuss the first time around, but it didn't stop him from losing. I can't predict the future but I also struggle to imagine how the "third term" scenario would even go. Trump's reelection issue is persistently that his policy-making is so poor that it basically advertises the opposition as soon as the primary starts. The DNC just has to pull back their radical candidates and push an affable nobody like Joe Biden and collect their free win.
The GOP's support isn't guaranteed throughout this administration, and they know a successor needs to be found. Amending the constitutional term limit would be a source of bipartisan outcry, because neither party would survive it.
Do you really have enough faith he won’t cook up some emergency, or start a war, to justify staying in the office just a little longer, and then a little longer, and who knows how the system works after that?
“Fuss” he tried to orchestrate a coup. The first term was almost accidental and we were fortunate in that there were a bunch of buffoons running the show.
This term is different.
I think that while Euro-American split was to be expected - we don't care about Pacific, they don't care about Russia - I think nobody expected USA to actually become hostile, and not just become neutral.
My European friend, just imagine us Canadians ... left behind in the water next to the sinking ship with the suicidal captain demanding you join him and clutching at your boat trying to bring you down...
Yeah... I can't even imagine how that feels right now for you Canadians. :| With Russian-like rhetoric on y'all. All I can hope for is that the administration won't be that insane to actually go with it.