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Comment by ksynwa

1 year ago

He hasn't said anything about when the bubble will burst. Just says that it is a bubble and it will inevitably burst.

Spotting bubbles and predicting they will burst at some point is not a particularly useful skill. Housing in Amsterdam was in a bubble for 37 years in the 1700s; identifying the bubble early on would have been completely pointless.

  • So what should one do when one notices a bubble?

    • If I had a reliable / repeatable answer to that question, my net worth would be a very large multiple of what it currently is!

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    • Try not to be caught up in it, even if you feel a lot of FOMO as it lasts longer than you expect.

  • Sure, but predicting when an economic bubble will burst with any accuracy is virtually impossible.