Comment by highfrequency
1 year ago
LLMs write code. Quickly. That is a killer app.
Performance improves every year, and costs become 3x-10x lower every year for the same level of performance. The difficulty of the code we want it to write does not increase 3x-10x per year. So there is no cost problem in just a couple years.
The level of denial and anger about LLMs on HN is astounding to me. Is this just defensiveness from software engineers worried about losing their jobs? An inability to extrapolate cost or performance trends just a couple years forward? Personal criticism against Altman and Musk? What am I missing?
Extrapolating trends mostly doesn't work like that, it's very possible that the growth will slow down.